The most recent record closing occurred on Jan. 4, when the index closed at 36,799.65, blowing past the all-time high closing of 36,585.06 it had just a day before. The move to new records for stocks on Thursday signals a key shift among investors, who have often digested strong economic data as a negative development, as it lowers the chances for a rate cut. In conclusion, the DJIA reached its all-time high of 40,051.05 points in May 2024. This historic peak came after years of growth, economic recovery, and optimism in the market. By understanding the events and factors behind this achievement, we can better appreciate the significance of this record-breaking moment in stock market history. Conversely, an encouraging drop in inflation reported earlier this week helped to fuel this latest rally.
Strong jobs growth dashes hopes for Fed rate cut in July
The previous day, May 15, 2024, the index had closed at 39,908 points, marking its highest closing value at that time. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to an all-time high on Friday, eclipsing the 40,000 mark for the fourth time in its 128-year history as shares surged across several industries, though the index fell short of its record close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, also known as the Dow or DJIA, tracks 30 large, well-known companies that trade on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq.
- “A few Fed speakers have shown their inclination to cutting interest rates as early as this month.
- The benchmark S&P 500 index (SPX) closed 0.8% lower, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) each dropped 0.9%.
- The so-called reciprocal tariffs, which roiled financial markets in early April when they were first announced, had been expected to go back into effect on July 9 at the end of a 90-day pause.
- This history of the Dow since the Great Depression demonstrates how stock market fluctuations reflect the natural stages of the business cycle.
- While the relative strength index confirms bullish price momentum, it also flashes extreme overbought conditions, potentially raising the possibility of short-term profit-taking.
After recovering from its Great Depression level, the Dow continued to be affected by several recessionary periods and crises leading up to the 2009 downturn. That correction was more than 16% lower than its all-time high set in May of the same year, putting the index into a correction but not a bear market. Investors worried that China's yuan devaluation and the uncertainty over the Fed's rate increase would push the index further downward. A November streak occurred after Donald Trump's presidential win on Nov. 8.
It beat its January high, rising to 9,093.24 by the close of the day. The Senate reintroduced the bailout as the Troubled Asset Relief Program on Oct. 3. While the relative strength index confirms bullish price momentum, it also flashes extreme overbought conditions, potentially raising the possibility of short-term profit-taking. Shares of Molina were down more than 1% in early-afternoon trading on Monday. Baxter International on Monday named Andrew Hider, chief executive of Canadian automation solutions firm ATS Corp., its new CEO. Even with today's decline, Oracle shares are up roughly 40% this year.
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Consumer prices also fell month-over-month for the first time since 2020. The market responded positively to wholesale prices increasing 0.2% last month, higher than projections of 0.1%, according to FactSet. The S&P 500 index and Nasdaq have similarly peaked at record highs this year as technology stocks like Nvidia have swelled—though Nvidia is not a Dow Jones component. The strong jobs report also spurred a spike in Treasury yields and reduced expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon.
Wall Street was also monitoring developments on Capitol Hill as lawmakers in the House try to pass Trump’s “One Big, Beautiful Bill.” And investors were also keeping an eye out for developments on the trade front. Traders now expect just a 4.7% chance the Fed cuts rates in July, down from a 23.8% chance yesterday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The breakdown of job growth showed a less rosy picture, with the private sector showing signs of weakness, according to Jim Baird, chief investment officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors. When a company undergoes significant changes, such as a merger, acquisition, or substantial shifts in its business model, or when there's a need to better represent the current state of the economic sectors, top 10 forex trading apps for 2024 adjustments are made. These changes are not done often to ensure the index's stability and continuity. The Dow tracks 30 large, publicly owned blue-chip companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq.
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- On Feb. 8, it entered a market correction when it fell 1,032.89 points to 23,860.46.
- The bank raised its price target for Nvidia stock to $190 from $180, lifting it further above the Visible Alpha analyst consensus of $174.
- Gold futures were up 0.1% at $3,345 an ounce, while West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. crude oil benchmark, rose 1.4% to $67.90 per barrel.
- Another crucial factor that affects the Dow’s performance is market psychology and investor sentiment.
The Federal Reserve is monitoring the tariff situation with a big focus on inflation. The rate of inflation has been stubbornly sitting just above the central bank’s target of 2%. In a report Friday, its preferred gauge, the personal consumption expenditures index, rose to 2.3% in May. Treasury yields jumped higher as investors dialed back expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The 10-year yield rose to 4.34% and the 30-year yield rose to 4.86%.
Will See Record Highs
The new highs reflected optimism that the Federal Reserve would continue to cut interest rates and that the incoming administration would promote business growth. Thursday was a shortened trading session, with the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq closing at 1 p.m. On that day, it closed at 7,286.27, a 37.8% decline from its peak. No one knew if a new bull market had begun until the Dow hit a higher low on March 11, 2003, closing at 7,524.06.
Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, said in an email that the June jobs report signals rate cuts in July are likely off the table. “The June jobs report is like a summer blockbuster — plenty of action and a surprise twist. Despite tariffs, DC drama and global headwinds, the US labor market just pulled off a better-than-expected performance,” Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management Group, said in an email.
Record Highs Set in 2022
The post came just weeks after the Tesla CEO said he would refocus on his companies following a backlash to his role leading the Trump administration's cost-cutting Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. Datadog shares lost more than half their value between December and April as uncertainty over the Trump administration’s tariffs and downbeat earnings projections from the compamy pummeled the stock. However, they have nearly doubled from their 2025 low and are up about 9% since the start of the year, boosted by renewed investor appetite for cloud and AI stocks. The stock was down 0.4% at $154.50 in recent trading, after surging 15% on Thursday, ahead of the July 4th break.
These events can create volatility and uncertainty in the markets, leading to fluctuations in stock prices. The Dow’s historic high might be achieved during a period of relative stability, but it can quickly change due to unexpected events. The DJIA remains one of the most closely watched indicators of economic health. It reflects the performance of major U.S. companies and can offer insight into broader economic trends. As the Dow continues to evolve, the question what is the highest the Dow Jones has ever been may continue to change, as the index has the potential to break new records in the future. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made history by surpassing 40,000 points for the first time on May 16, 2024, hitting an intraday peak of 40,051.05 points.
These funds track the DJIA through a similar composition and weighting of stocks. The largest single-day drop, percentage-wise, that the Dow has had occurred when the market crashed on Oct. 19, 1987, Black Monday. However, in points, the Dow’s worst day was March 16, 2020, when it fell 2,997.1 points in reaction to the pandemic-era adoption of lockdowns throughout the U.S. and the Federal Reserve slashing interest rates to near zero.
Traders were confident in a business-friendly Republican president. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (the Dow) is an index of the 30 top-performing U.S. companies. The most recent all-time-high record (as of this writing) was on Jan. 4, 2022, when it closed at 36,799.65. Tesla shares have lost more than a quarter of their value so far this year.